Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

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otismo
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » April 14th, 2021, 5:15 pm

BokaBB wrote:
April 13th, 2021, 3:13 am
China will rule the world! Learn Chinese (just answering what otismo said a few times)!
Have a good day!

BokaBB
Cantonese, Mandarin, or both?
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » April 14th, 2021, 5:18 pm

SquishyBoi wrote:
March 17th, 2021, 7:45 pm
maybe you might even consider investing in dogecoin, if you're a man of culture
up over 80% today - madness
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by BokaBB » April 15th, 2021, 2:09 am

otismo wrote:
April 14th, 2021, 5:15 pm
BokaBB wrote:
April 13th, 2021, 3:13 am
China will rule the world! Learn Chinese (just answering what otismo said a few times)!
Have a good day!

BokaBB
Cantonese, Mandarin, or both?
Second.
How you do not know that?
Have a good day!

BokaBB
777
I CAN APGSEARCH NOW!


Sure, I was a bad person, but I have changed myself.
I'd love to befriend anybody who's interested.
Have a good day!

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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » April 21st, 2021, 7:18 pm

BokaBB wrote:
April 15th, 2021, 2:09 am
otismo wrote:
April 14th, 2021, 5:15 pm
BokaBB wrote:
April 13th, 2021, 3:13 am
China will rule the world! Learn Chinese (just answering what otismo said a few times)!
Have a good day!

BokaBB
Cantonese, Mandarin, or both?
Second.
How you do not know that?
Have a good day!

BokaBB
We exist in a
Micro-Managed
Biologically-Balanced
Multi-System
Eco-Structure
that rules itself
the Human is the de-stabilizing Agent
viruses like Covid affect correction
the origin of it is a moot point
it is now in EVERY LABORATORY
of EVERY MAD SCIENTIST -
Global Biological Warfare...
hopefully our antidotes ( vaccines )
will make it futile...
China is Amazing !
I expect big things from China !
And the Chinese Millennials !
Cheers !
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » April 21st, 2021, 7:39 pm

Divergence now visible between the NASDAQ 100 ( QQQ ) and the NASDAQ Composite ( COMP )/Russell 2000 ( RUT )

Usually a sign of Major Top Formations - in China between SHENZHEN and SHCOMP ( Shanghai )

Been trying to short for three months now; eventually I will be right ( like a stopped clock ).

Thank You for Your Interest !

Cheers !
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » May 6th, 2021, 4:24 am

So! At Last! The Last Gasp !
and so it was...
and so it was...
AndSoItWas.png (157.84 KiB) Viewed 6834 times
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » May 14th, 2021, 7:44 pm

How to make a small fortune :

Start with a large one.
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » August 10th, 2021, 2:39 pm

Once again, it is time for the Shock Market to prove that it has NOT run out of gas.

The AntiQuant within me tells me this is so.

Signed,

AntiQuant Ninja
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » October 23rd, 2021, 4:18 am

getting to be that time again...
worked lasttime as can be seen...
worked lasttime as can be seen...
Chart.png (73.88 KiB) Viewed 5994 times
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » December 29th, 2021, 3:32 pm

after a strong finish to 2021 we'll be ready to take a breather, at the very least...
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » January 12th, 2022, 6:23 pm

Today, January 12, 2022, the New York Stock Exchange Composite Index closed at an all-time record high. :roll:

No other stock index joined it. Not the DJIA, S&P500, NASDAQ or Russell 2000; this may be a divergence worth exploiting. :wink:

And if this looks like a prescient call a few days from now, examine all my previous posts on this thread. :oops:

And if instead I have egg on my face one more time, we can all have a good laugh ! :lol:
a page for the record books...
a page for the record books...
indexes-1-12-2022.png (1.19 MiB) Viewed 5315 times
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Fascination

Post by otismo » January 13th, 2022, 3:04 pm

If it were not for my Financial Fascination I would definitely be doing more CGoL.

As expected, to-day so far has been an interesting Arm-Wrestle/Tug-of-War.

In the end, I guess I feel more comfortable being long...

The Financial Universe is where the great War of the Algorithms is taking place -

if only I were a better coder, I might have come up with something priceless...

In the meanwhile, I don't think the market will crash, even though to-day was a BIG UGLY day.

Too many stocks to buy and groups to rotate, like biotech and banks - four biggie banks announce earnings to-morrow....
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by wwei47 » January 14th, 2022, 1:14 am

Hm. It is worth pointing out that there have been recessions in 2001. 2008, and 2015, around once every six or seven years. This might just be a coincidence though-the trend doesn't extend before 2001.
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » January 14th, 2022, 2:25 am

@ wwei47

Thank You for your response - that is a keen observation - stock market corrections often dovetail with recessions ( or "growth recessions" ).

I began this thread by stating that it appeared to me that Wall Street had taken leave of its senses.

First there was the huge covid break early 2020, immediately followed by the "rubber ball" bounce-back ( which may not be over ).

Unprecedented Behavior - not only the stock market, but also three years of double-digit price increases

of single-family houses in just about every major market in the USA - real estate being acquired for investment or a quick flip -

properties that are not being lived in. Then there is crypto. Doge Coin was mentioned in this thread. Shiba Inu, BTC and so many others.

Inflation serious enough to cause real damage to the bond market and to the US$ dollar. And the pandemic. Will it ever end ?

In short, so many things to watch, to be mindful of. It would be nice to have a trusty set of algorithms, an AI to manage our money.

But alas, we must do it ourselves.

Cheers !
getting the big picture...
getting the big picture...
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » February 10th, 2022, 12:55 pm

Timing is EVERYTHING :
the opening break was heavily bought, but may not last
the opening break was heavily bought, but may not last
NYA-Six-Months-Daily-2-10-22-at-11-21-AM.png (71.21 KiB) Viewed 5102 times
This may be the right time...

Excerpt from Visa Corp. patent app :
is this the end of physical currency ?
is this the end of physical currency ?
Visa-Patent.png (158.54 KiB) Viewed 5102 times
Legislation :
sure looks like crypto-dollar is in the works...
sure looks like crypto-dollar is in the works...
Fed-Crypto.png (100.44 KiB) Viewed 5098 times
"Thalers" became "Dollars" which became "Money" because the men who made the thalers were trustworthy men.

If NFTs are going to become money they need to be made by a group of honest men.

Cheers !
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » February 11th, 2022, 6:16 pm

I reversed myself and was instantly vaporised.

Those who stayed short made out like bandits

and now have the entire weekend to study ----

Goodyear Tire collapsed - lot of air out there...

Enjoy your WeekEnd !

I will try to find time for CGoL and even Wordle

Cheers !
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » February 25th, 2022, 12:09 pm

For the record, I should re-iterate that I am long, I went long February 11 ( last post ), and I have been punished for it;

the longer I am, the more punishment I get; but perhaps today the tide has turned.

I still believe that we are in our "Roaring Twenties";

and that they may persist

for decades !

Cheers !
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » March 8th, 2022, 8:57 pm

Interesting Dow Jones Chart :
de-lineated by me...
de-lineated by me...
DJI-monthly-3-8-22.png (43.21 KiB) Viewed 5005 times
The oil price has exploded to the upside.

IF the gold price does the same

AND the stock market

does NOT crash

then Mr. Market may skyrocket as well. My fingers are crossed.

Russian Stocks R.I.P. AMEN and Good Night.

Cheers !
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » March 10th, 2022, 2:54 pm

O.K.

one nuke pops and there is no stock market

we used to get a lot of nickel [ Ni ] from Russia

nickel was up 70% monday, up over 100% tuesday, and they closed the Exchange ( LME ) and cancelled all the trades - will re-open Friday...

I may run to the bank and see if I can get some nickels ( 5 cent coins made of nickel )

EDIT ONE :

for the record, I am still net long, and just bought some more Telephone [ T ] to-day...

Chin Chin !
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » March 22nd, 2022, 5:28 pm

Getting to be that time again :
signs of weakness...
signs of weakness...
indicies-march-2022-six-months-daily.png (272.07 KiB) Viewed 4973 times
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » April 11th, 2022, 2:38 pm

One must know when to throw in the towel -

I'm calling this a Breakout :
The British are coming ! The British are coming !
The British are coming ! The British are coming !
FTSE100-April-2022.png (52.12 KiB) Viewed 4915 times
and a quick check over there turns up a compelling ( speculative ) buy :

LYG - Lloyds Banking Group PLC ADR (NYS) ticker symbol LYG

see http://londonkid.com

Cheers !
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » April 23rd, 2022, 7:54 am

As much as I wanted to believe in the possibility of a new rally in stock prices,

by the end of last week I was compelled to protect myself - and I am glad I did...

( FTSE100 [above] now looking like a massive failure... )
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » April 28th, 2022, 1:40 pm

bought call options on NetFlix ( NFLX ) at the opening of the market and it looks like that was enough to turn it around...
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » May 4th, 2022, 8:07 pm

the FED raised rates fifty basis points and the market CHEERED and Went Wild !

"Powell signals Fed not considering 75 basis-point hikes"

"S&P 500 closes 3% higher, largest rise since May 2020"

so this is going to be easy :

KGC Kinross Gold

LABU 3X Biotech ETF

DDD Three D Systems Corp.

SGMA Sigmatron International Inc.

HUGS USHG Acquisition Corporation Class A

LYG Lloyds Banking Group PLC ADR

SECO Secoo Holding Ltd. ADR

these are ranked in order of position weighting;

for the Intermediate Term Position Trader ... ;-)

The Best Way to help our Friends escape the Statism

of putin's russia, xi's china, and trump's amerika, is :

The Old-Fashioned Way :

By Saving Money and then Putting It To WORK

( and then you no longer have to work - you have fun managing your money and managing risk ! ).

Saving Money and Not Spending Money are Two Different Things

but they are both DISCIPLINE ( the Marketplace is the Teacher ).

Putting Money To Work is an Art/Science,

but above all, it is FUN !

And you can laugh at the World

( but first you have to be able to laugh at YOURSELF ).

And we are all our own worst Enemy...

"I remember I was so impressed

With everything you did

You really had me believin' it was Magic

Imagine my astonishment

When I realized

That you are just a Statist Apparatchik"

- one of Dylan's Lost Verses

( from "you gotta lotta nerve" )
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Re: Let's Make a Fortune Shorting the Stock Market

Post by otismo » May 7th, 2022, 11:49 am

This is now my biggest position :
hope it goes_down/stays_low - want MORE...
hope it goes_down/stays_low - want MORE...
LABU-Presentation-Chart-May-6-2022.png (435.7 KiB) Viewed 4817 times
my broker wants me to read its Prospectus :

http://foxeo.com/spro.pdf

hope someone will read it and find one good reason for not buying

Here is another similarly low-priced ETF :
riskier; should read the Prospectus on this one also...
riskier; should read the Prospectus on this one also...
BULZ-Presentation-Chart-May-6-2022.png (139.16 KiB) Viewed 4808 times
It says ETN not ETF ( the chart actually says BOTH ); they are DIFFERENT; should probably read the Prospectus on this one also...

( realizing that we may have re-entered a DE-flationary Environment, Gold and Kinross KGC, etc., just got de-moted... )

( likewise realizing that the environment for I.P.O.'s may have soured somewhat, HUGS and HUGS+ also just got de-moted... )

Someone has noted that there seems to be a lack of Exuberance of any kind; we shall see...
"One picture is worth 1000 words; but one thousand words, carefully crafted, can paint an infinite number of pictures."
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